Saturday, July 3, 2010

Shane Carwin Exposed by Brock Lesnar's Chin

Brock Lesnar defeated Shane Carwin by tapout. Carwin showed he's a one trick pony tonight by not being able to finish Brock on the ground. If Carwin could do anything other than punch like a third rate boxer (which is amazingly good for MMA standards) he would have won this fight. Carwin connected with Lesnar and put him down for a pummeling but couldn't finish Brock on the ground. Part of this was due to Brock's defence and solid chin but the more important thing was that Carwin had no plan B. Carwin had no submission skills or ability in the full mount to finish off the champion. He is a one trick pony and that one trick didn't work against Lesnar. In the second round Lesnar took a tired Carwin down and finished him with a fairly weak triangle choke.

I think someone as skilled as an Emelianenko or Overeem would definitely have a much better shot at finishing Lesnar (likely by submission similar to what Frank Mir did despite being no where near as talented as Fedor or the Reem). The UFC does not have any such talented 5 tool heavyweights. The only two in the division are Overeem and Emelianenko and both are not in the UFC. I see Cain Velasquez getting the next shot at Brock and that too should be an entertaining fight. I think Cain is more skilled but again with a wrestling background he may struggle against the larger Lesnar in ways that a Fedor would not. Cain's skills are similar to Lesnar's but better, however, he is also much smaller. Carwin may get Junior Dos Santos if Junior beats Big Country. The heavyweight picture has four guys in the UFC and three guys in Strikeforce that, in my opinion, are probably the best out there.

Carwin's 35 and probably doesn't have too many more chances left, especially if he loses his next fight. I don't see him getting a rematch with Brock unless he puts together a solid win or two and Brock continues to defend. However, if an Overeem or Emelianenko join the UFC I think Carwin's chances are going to be slim to survive at the top levels despite his great KO record. Carwin proved he can't win outside of one round. Brock took Carwin outside of a round by showing great defence and a solid chin and that was enough to win. Carwin had nothing left in round 2.

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